Geopolitical uncertainty and energy shocks driving the shift

  • Global demand for fossil fuels likely to peak before 2030
  • Renewable energy uptake rising
  • Geopolitical uncertainty hastening the move to renewable energy
  • Increasing use of electric vehicles and renewable energy offsetting demand for carbon-based fuel sources
  • Energy shocks such as war in Ukraine and conflict in the Middle East driving the shift
  • Middle Eastern seaborne oil flows likely to be sent to Asia by 2050
  • Europe leading the charge in green steel production
  • European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism driving investment in green steel capacity
  • Anglo American lowers copper output view due to fall in output in Chile
  • Macquarie Asset Management to invest $332 million in Norsk Hydro’s renewable energy company

Factuality Level: 8
Justification: The article provides information about market movements and includes statements from the International Energy Agency about the peak in fossil fuel demand. It also includes information about green steel projects in Europe and updates on copper production and renewable energy investments. The article does not contain any irrelevant or misleading information, sensationalism, redundancy, or opinion masquerading as fact. The information provided is factual and objective.

Noise Level: 3
Justification: The article contains mostly market movements and brief summaries of other news stories. There is some relevant information about the International Energy Agency’s forecast on fossil-fuel demand, but the article lacks in-depth analysis and actionable insights.

Financial Relevance: Yes
Financial Markets Impacted: The news article discusses the International Energy Agency’s forecast that global demand for fossil fuels will peak before the end of the decade, which could have implications for the energy sector and companies involved in fossil fuel production. It also mentions the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, which could impact the steel industry and steel producers in Europe.

Presence of Extreme Event: No
Nature of Extreme Event: No
Impact Rating of the Extreme Event: No
Justification: The news article does not describe any extreme events.

Public Companies: International Energy Agency (IEA), Anglo American (AAL), Norsk Hydro (NHY), Macquarie Asset Management (Macquarie), Anglo American Platinum (AMS), Syrah Resources (SYR)
Private Companies:
Key People: Colin Richardson (Steel Lead at Argus Media)


Global demand for fossil fuels is expected to peak before the end of the decade, as renewable energy uptake continues to rise. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that demand for coal, oil, and natural gas will all peak before 2030, with the increasing use of electric vehicles and renewable energy sources offsetting the demand for carbon-based fuels. Geopolitical uncertainty and energy shocks, such as the war in Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East, are hastening the move towards renewable energy. The IEA also predicts that by 2050, half of Middle Eastern seaborne oil flows will be sent to Asia. In other news, Europe is leading the charge in green steel production, with nearly 50 green and low-carbon steel projects expected to be established in the continent by 2030. This is driven by policies such as the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, which incentivizes polluters to reduce emissions. Anglo American has lowered its copper output view due to a fall in output in Chile, while Norsk Hydro has received a $332 million investment from Macquarie Asset Management for its renewable energy company.