Critical information for the U.S. trading day

  • Pay attention to corporate earnings season and the S&P 500’s potential for a new closing record
  • SocGen warns of increased volatility in the second and third quarters
  • U.S. disinflation and tougher EPS comparisons for the Nasdaq-100 are key factors
  • SocGen predicts a soft landing for the U.S. economy and advises investors to sell high-risk assets
  • Key asset performance: S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, 10-year Treasury, gold, and oil

Markets are focused on the upcoming corporate earnings season and the potential for the S&P 500 to reach a new closing record. However, Societe Generale warns of increased volatility in the second and third quarters. Two main factors contributing to this volatility are U.S. disinflation and tougher EPS comparisons for the Nasdaq-100. Despite market expectations, SocGen predicts a soft landing for the U.S. economy and advises investors to sell high-risk assets. Key asset performance includes the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, 10-year Treasury, gold, and oil.

Public Companies: Societe Generale (SOCGEN), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), BlackRock (BLK), Burberry (BRBY), Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), Infosys (INFY), Marathon Digital (MARA), NIO (NIO), Apple (AAPL), GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment (AMC), Amazon.com (AMZN), Coinbase Global (COIN)
Private Companies:
Key People: Manish Kabra (Head of U.S. Equity Strategy), Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed President)

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Factuality Level: 7
Justification: The article provides information about the U.S. consumer inflation reading, the upcoming corporate earnings season, and the potential impact on the S&P 500. It also includes analysis from Societe Generale on market trends and potential sources of volatility. The article includes some opinion and speculation from SocGen, but overall, it provides factual information about market events and trends.

Noise Level: 3
Justification: The article primarily focuses on market predictions and analysis, providing information on corporate earnings and economic indicators. However, it lacks scientific rigor and intellectual honesty as it relies heavily on the opinions and forecasts of Societe Generale. The article also includes unrelated information such as stock market performance and random reads, which detracts from the overall coherence and relevance of the content.

Financial Relevance: Yes
Financial Markets Impacted: The article discusses the upcoming corporate earnings season, particularly for financial companies such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo. It also mentions the performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices.

Presence of Extreme Event: No
Nature of Extreme Event: No
Impact Rating of the Extreme Event: No
Justification: The article primarily focuses on financial markets and corporate earnings, without mentioning any extreme events or their impact.

Reported publicly: www.marketwatch.com